Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli Prediction & Tips | 2. Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Arminia Bielefeld
HomeFull Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Friday 4 September

St. Pauli
AwayArminia BielefeldTimelineSt. Pauli
1st Half
Rochelt J. (Kersken J.)
sports_soccer
13'
Hara T. (Nemeth D.)
sports_soccer
20'
Mehlem M.
35'
2nd Half
Ceesay A.Out: Kaars M.
sync_alt
46'
Metcalfe C.Out: Hrgota B.
sync_alt
46'
Ando T.
47'
Grodowski J.
sports_soccer
51'
Smith E.
56'
Ceesay A. (Pyrka A.)
sports_soccer
65'
Min D.Out: Rochelt J.
sync_alt
66'
Jensen L.Out: Momuluh M.
sync_alt
66'
Niang Y.Out: Hara T.
sync_alt
76'
Schreck S.Out: Mehlem M.
sync_alt
77'
Boakye B.Out: Koudossou H.
sync_alt
81'
Wegener T.Out: Worl M.
sync_alt
81'
Pyrka A.
88'
Bauer M.
88'
Klein S.Out: Rasmussen M.
sync_alt
89'
Top stats
1.06Expected goals (xG)1.00
44%Ball possession56%
9Total shots8
2Shots on target5
1Big chances2
3Corner kicks5
84% (385/461)Passes83% (502/603)
2Yellow cards3
Shots
1.06Expected goals (xG)1.00
1.02xG on target (xGOT)1.18
9Total shots8
2Shots on target5
5Shots off target2
2Blocked shots1
5Shots inside the box5
4Shots outside the box3
0Hit the woodwork0
Attack
1Big chances2
3Corner kicks5
22Touches in opposition box19
0Accurate through passes1
1Offsides1
14Free kicks12
Passes
84% (385/461)Passes83% (502/603)
42% (25/60)Long passes28% (15/53)
69% (65/94)Passes in final third69% (115/166)
25% (5/20)Crosses38% (9/24)
0.43Expected assists (xA)1.04
15Throw ins22
Defense
12Fouls14
62% (13/21)Tackles76% (13/17)
50Duels won49
33Clearances21
11Interceptions11
0Errors leading to shot0
1Errors leading to goal0
Goalkeeping
3Goalkeeper saves0
1.18xGOT faced1.02
-0.82Goals prevented-0.98
6Goal kicks12
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.20
X3.71
22.94
Recommended Bet
Home Win
Odds: 2.17Stake: High (9/10)
85
Opp. Value
Key Factors
League Rank: Home #11 vs Away #16
Season: Home 1.50 PPG vs Away 0.30 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 1.00 PPG vs Away 0.60 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 2.75 GPG vs Away 0.80 GPG
donut_small Win Probabilities
55%
Arminia Bielefeld Win
23%
Draw
21%
St. Pauli Win
Arminia Bielefeld
Draw
St. Pauli
payments
Value Comparison
| Outcome | Market Odds | True Odds (AI) | Fair Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.62 | 1.89 | — | -14.4% |
| Arminia Bielefeld Win | 2.17 | 1.81 | 2.33 | +19.7% |
| Draw | 3.68 | 4.27 | 3.94 | -13.9% |
| St. Pauli Win | 2.95 | 4.66 | 3.16 | -36.8% |
| BTTS - Yes | 1.50 | 1.81 | — | -17.4% |
Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.
Lineups
Lineup Predictions & Ratings
Arminia Bielefeld
Starting 11
10Jannik Rochelt
LW6.86
11Joel Grodowski
CF7.60
14Thaddäus-Monju Momuluh
RW6.92
6Marvin Mehlem
CAM6.99
8Sam Francis Schreck
CM6.67
21Stefano Russo
CDM6.82
5Maximilian Bauer
CB6.83
7Henri Koudossou
RB7.10
19Maximilian Großer
CB6.89
29Tim-Henry Handwerker
LB6.26
1Jonas Thomas Kersken
GK6.84
Substitutes
27Benjamin Bediako Boakye
LW6.53
28Roberts Uldriķis
CF6.49
30Isiah Ahmad Young
RW7.01
38Marius Wörl
CM6.71
42Till Wegener
6.50
-Eyyüb Arda Yasar
CM
3Joel Felix (Injured)
CB6.77
17Arne Sicker
LB7.02
-Leo Oppermann
GK
St. Pauli
Starting 11
18Taichi Hara
CF6.90
19Martijn Kaars
CF6.89
10Branimir Hrgota
CAM7.45
20Mathias Rasmussen
CM7.32
4David Nemeth
CB6.89
6Marcus Mathisen
CB7.29
8Eric Smith
CB6.69
11Arkadiusz Pyrka
RB7.36
15Tomoya Ando
CB6.57
23Louis Oppie
LB6.87
1Ben Alexander Voll
GK7.06
Substitutes
7Youssoupha Niang
RW6.68
9Abdoulie Ceesay
CF7.15
14Erik Ahlstrand
CM6.38
16Joel Chima Fujita
CM6.53
22Samuel Klein
CM6.32
24Connor Metcalfe
CM7.20
-Lars Ritzka
LB
-Adam Dźwigała
CB
-Dimitar Mitov
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches
compareTeam Comparison
Based on 3 matchesArminia BielefeldvsSt. Pauli
1.67Goals / Match1.33
2.00Conceded / Match1.67
1Clean Sheets0
5.00Shots on Target / Match6.33
43.7%Possession %51.0%
77.7%Pass Accuracy %80.0%
sports_soccerGoals & Scoring
5Goals Scored4
6Goals Conceded5
1Clean Sheets0
9Big Chances11
5Big Chances Missed7
1Penalty Goals0
gps_fixedShooting
50Total Shots51
15Shots on Target19
swap_horizPassing & Possession
43.7%Avg Possession51.0%
1,065Total Passes1,337
77.7%Pass Accuracy80.0%
shieldDefending
51Tackles55
30Interceptions22
7Saves12
52.8%Duels Won54.7%
gavelDiscipline
35Fouls32
3Yellow Cards7
6Offsides13
analyticsOther
21Corners18
20Successful Dribbles24
7.19Avg Rating7.61
history Recent Form
L
W
L
L
D
D
group Head to Head
PL29 Apr 2023
2-1
PL22 Oct 2022
2-0
PL21 Dec 2019
3-0
PL29 Jul 2019
1-1
PL14 Apr 2019
1-1
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Both Team Score
Head-to-Head Detailed
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
10 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
6 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
14%
2 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
50%
7 / 14 matches
Arminia Bielefeld CS
36%
Clean Sheets
St. Pauli CS
29%
Clean Sheets
Recent Matches
29 Apr 2023
St. Pauli
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
22 Oct 2022
Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 0
St. Pauli
21 Dec 2019
St. Pauli
3 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
29 Jul 2019
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 1
St. Pauli
14 Apr 2019
St. Pauli
1 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
4 Nov 2018
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 2
St. Pauli
6 May 2018
St. Pauli
1 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
1 Dec 2017
Arminia Bielefeld
5 - 0
St. Pauli
19 Feb 2017
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 1
St. Pauli
10 Sept 2016
St. Pauli
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
14 Dec 2015
Arminia Bielefeld
0 - 0
St. Pauli
25 Jul 2015
St. Pauli
0 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld
Current Form Comparison
Form (Overall)
1.50
Form (Overall)
0.30
Arminia Bielefeld is +400% better in terms of Points Per Game
Nürnberg
4 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld
3 - 0
Energie Cottbus
Karlsruher SC
2 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
St. Pauli
1 - 2
Kaiserslautern
Holstein Kiel
2 - 2
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
1 - 1
Greuther Fürth
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