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Holstein Kiel vs Nurnberg Prediction & Tips | 2. Bundesliga | FootballTips.app

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

Home
Full Time
2 - 2
HT: 1 - 1
Saturday 5 September
Nurnberg

Nurnberg

Away
Holstein KielTimelineNurnberg
1st Half
Kapralik A.
12'
Zec D.
16'
Porstner E.
34'
Balzi G.
36'
Markhiev A. (Fernandez J.)
sports_soccer
41'
Harres P. (Kapralik A.)
sports_soccer
45+1'
2nd Half
Kapralik A. (Meffert J.)
sports_soccer
50'
Scobel P. (Markhiev A.)
sports_soccer
56'
Lubach R.Out: Becker F.
sync_alt
63'
Boving W.Out: Justvan J.
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63'
Parduzi L.Out: Tolkin J.
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63'
de Regt G.Out: Therkelsen J.
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63'
Parduzi L.
65'
Masouras G.Out: Janisch T.
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72'
Lubach R.
77'
Tasdelen T.Out: Davidsen K.
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79'
Zoma M. A.
83'
Haugen S.Out: Scobel P.
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85'
Ghrieb R.Out: Zoma M. A.
sync_alt
85'

Top stats

0.68Expected goals (xG)1.84
44%Ball possession56%
14Total shots19
3Shots on target7
1Big chances4
10Corner kicks8
79% (261/331)Passes80% (344/431)
4Yellow cards3

Shots

0.68Expected goals (xG)1.84
1.37xG on target (xGOT)0.79
14Total shots19
3Shots on target7
4Shots off target9
7Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box13
5Shots outside the box6
0Hit the woodwork0
1Headed goals0

Attack

1Big chances4
10Corner kicks8
26Touches in opposition box24
0Accurate through passes0
1Offsides1
14Free kicks17

Passes

79% (261/331)Passes80% (344/431)
42% (16/38)Long passes49% (20/41)
68% (63/92)Passes in final third68% (63/93)
29% (6/21)Crosses38% (6/16)
1.06Expected assists (xA)0.97
18Throw ins23

Defense

17Fouls14
50% (15/30)Tackles67% (8/12)
61Duels won54
21Clearances20
13Interceptions6
1Errors leading to shot1
0Errors leading to goal0

Goalkeeping

4Goalkeeper saves1
0.79xGOT faced1.37
-1.21Goals prevented-0.63
11Goal kicks12
auto_awesome
AI Prediction
verified Very High Confidence
12.29
X3.71
22.79

Recommended Bet

Away Win
Odds: 2.70Stake: High (8/10)
80
Opp. Value

Key Factors

League Rank: Home #17 vs Away #1
Season: Home 0.90 PPG vs Away 2.20 PPG
Recent Form (weighted): Home 0.60 PPG vs Away 3.00 PPG
Goals (venue): Home 1.67 GPG vs Away 4.17 GPG

donut_small Win Probabilities

29%
23%
47%
Holstein Kiel
Draw
Nurnberg
payments

Value Comparison

OutcomeMarket OddsTrue Odds (AI)Value
Over 2.5 Goals1.601.66-3.9%
Holstein Kiel Win2.203.40-35.2%
Draw3.504.28-18.2%
Nürnberg Win2.702.12+27.4%
BTTS - Yes1.481.74-14.7%

Fair Odds remove the bookmaker margin. Value is raw EV vs market odds; hover a badge for the edge vs fair odds.

Lineups

Lineup Predictions & Ratings

Holstein Kiel

Starting 11
19Phil Harres
CF7.41
20Adrián Kaprálik
RW6.52
8Guillermo Balzi
CAM7.28
10Jonas Therkelsen
CAM7.03
15Kasper Davidsen
6.83
28Jonas Meffert
CDM6.84
13Ivan Nekić
CB6.59
26David Zec
CB6.35
32Hiroki Sekine
RB6.90
47John Tolkin
LB6.49
1Timon Weiner
GK6.57
Substitutes
11Gyan de Regt
LW6.61
17Faride Alidou
LW4.38
27Ikem Ugoh
CM6.53
-Tayar Tasdelen
-Hamza Muqaj
CM
3Niko Takahashi Cendagorta
LB6.26
-Noah Haubjerg Ellegaard Madsen
40Leon Parduzi
LB6.79
-Lio Mark Rothenhagen
GK

Nurnberg

Starting 11
19Piet Lasse Scobel
CF7.41
23Mohamed Alì ZOma
SS7.76
6Adam Marhiev
CDM7.98
8Javier Fernandez Gonzalez
CM7.14
10Julian Justvan
CAM7.31
22Finn Ole Becker
CM7.26
4Alexios Kalogeropoulos
CB6.94
32Tim Janisch
RB6.67
36Kristian Mandic
CB6.80
41Eric Porstner
LB6.75
1Jan Reichert
GK7.24
Substitutes
7Rayan Ghrieb
RW6.33
9Sigurd Haugen
CF6.58
16Marko Soldic
CM6.51
18Rafael Lubach
CM6.77
35Marc Kornwachs Barjuan
-Andrea Ceresoli
LB
21Giannis Masouras
6.47
-Khalid Abu El Haija
CB
-Robin Lisewski
GK
Ratings based on player performance in recent matches

compareTeam Comparison

Based on 3 matches
Holstein KielvsNurnberg
1.33Goals / Match3.67
2.00Conceded / Match1.00
0Clean Sheets1
4.67Shots on Target / Match7.33
59.3%Possession %55.0%
85.7%Pass Accuracy %85.4%

sports_soccerGoals & Scoring

4Goals Scored11
6Goals Conceded3
0Clean Sheets1
9Big Chances12
6Big Chances Missed5

gps_fixedShooting

44Total Shots44
14Shots on Target22

swap_horizPassing & Possession

59.3%Avg Possession55.0%
1,546Total Passes1,386
85.7%Pass Accuracy85.4%

shieldDefending

41Tackles44
17Interceptions18
5Saves9
49.8%Duels Won50.7%

gavelDiscipline

47Fouls30
10Yellow Cards6
1Offsides2

analyticsOther

12Corners11
24Successful Dribbles30
2Errors Leading to Goal1
6.91Avg Rating7.56

history Recent Form

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
0.9 GPG
L
D
D
NurnbergNurnberg
2.2 GPG
W
W
W

group Head to Head

PL14 Mar 2026
Holstein Kiel
2-3
Nürnberg
PL19 Oct 2025
Nürnberg
1-1
Holstein Kiel
PL6 Apr 2024
Nürnberg
0-4
Holstein Kiel
PL29 Oct 2023
Holstein Kiel
0-2
Nürnberg
PL15 Apr 2023
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Nürnberg
64%
Over 2.5 Goals
71%
Both Team Score

Head-to-Head Detailed

Over 1.5 Goals
93%
13 / 14 matches
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
9 / 14 matches
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
6 / 14 matches
Both Teams to Score
71%
10 / 14 matches
Holstein Kiel CS
21%
Clean Sheets
Nurnberg CS
7%
Clean Sheets

Recent Matches

14 Mar 2026
Holstein Kiel
2 - 3
Nürnberg
19 Oct 2025
Nürnberg
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel
6 Apr 2024
Nürnberg
0 - 4
Holstein Kiel
29 Oct 2023
Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
Nürnberg
15 Apr 2023
Holstein Kiel
2 - 1
Nürnberg
9 Oct 2022
Nürnberg
2 - 3
Holstein Kiel
8 May 2022
Holstein Kiel
3 - 0
Nürnberg
4 Dec 2021
Nürnberg
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel
27 Apr 2021
Nürnberg
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel
16 Dec 2020
Holstein Kiel
1 - 0
Nürnberg
28 Jun 2020
Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
Nürnberg
15 Dec 2019
Nürnberg
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Current Form Comparison

Form (Overall)
Holstein Kiel
0.90
Form (Overall)
Nurnberg
2.20

Nurnberg is +144% better in terms of Points Per Game

Magdeburg
2 - 0
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
2 - 2
St. Pauli
Darmstadt 98
2 - 2
Holstein Kiel
Nürnberg
4 - 1
Arminia Bielefeld
Greuther Fürth
2 - 4
Nürnberg
Nürnberg
3 - 0
Dynamo Dresden

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